New forecast is out based on average rainfalls and tempuratures for the springtime, along with the expected snow melt and existing groundwater levels as found on 2/28/11. There is now a 100% chance the river will see 17 ft, and a 70% chance that it will exceed the all time record set in 1993.

This does not mean it will flood the day of the race, but that it will get this high at some point in the next 90 days.

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/perio...0,7,8,2,9,15,6